2026 World Cup Showdown: Which Team Would Emerge Victorious If the Tournament Started Today?n

Robson: Barcelona & Spain Must Safeguard Lamine Yamal

Stewart Robson and Steve Nicol discuss the significance of Lamine Yamal’s injury-related absence from the Spanish national team.

Date: November 14, 2025

The qualification process for the 2026 World Cup, set to take place in the United States, Mexico, and Canada next summer, is reaching its decisive moments. Automatic spots are up for grabs this week, while several nations prepare for March’s intercontinental playoffs.

However, as we await the World Cup draw in Washington D.C. on December 5, one question arises: If the tournament kicked off today, which nation would claim victory?

Writers and analysts from ESPN FC shared their insights on the current state of the tournament and identified frontrunners for the coveted trophy.

SPAIN (8 Votes)

Last World Cup Win: 2010
FIFA Rank: 1

Mark Ogden: The team that adapts best to the summer heat of the U.S., Mexico, and Canada will likely win the World Cup. Spain checks more boxes than any other contender. As the reigning European champions, their quality is beyond doubt, and Luis de la Fuente’s squad can dominate possession, wearing down their rivals.

Lizzy Becherano: Spain has to be viewed as the favorites after their Euro 2024 triumph, which provided crucial experience to their younger players. Individuals like Yamal and Fermín López are better prepared for the pressure of international competitions, which is critical for World Cup success. Although some nations rely on star players for wins, Spain’s well-rounded squad can handle various challenges that the World Cup may present.

James Olley: Spain deserves recognition for lifting the Euro 2024 trophy by winning all seven matches without needing penalties. They defeated top teams like Italy, Germany, France, and England, proving their class.

Players like Williams and Yamal have gained experience; Rodri should be fit if he overcomes his injury issues. If not, Zubimendi has elevated his game at Arsenal. Spain needs contributions from others, such as Dean Huijsen, who chose to represent Spain after previously playing for the Netherlands, but overall, they remain the team to beat.

Jeff Carlisle: Spain emerges as the likely victor, having outscored opponents by a total of 15-0 in qualifiers. Clearly, tougher competitions lie ahead, but right now, they appear formidable. Mikel Merino and Mikel Oyarzabal are scoring goals, and Pedri has dominated midfield play. Despite Lamine Yamal’s recent injuries, Spain shows no signs of weakening.

Even with Robin Le Normand sidelined for the year, Spain’s defense remains solid with Aymeric Laporte and Huijsen. Dominating possession over 75% in recent matches has stifled opposing teams, giving them minimal opportunities to threaten La Roja’s goal. With their Euro 2024 experience, they know how to succeed in high-stakes games.

ENGLAND (3 Votes)

Last World Cup Win: 1966
FIFA Rank: 4

Julien Laurens: Apart from England’s talent, their successful management plays a vital role. Thomas Tuchel navigates strong personalities better than most and can craft a balanced team, especially given past difficulties in integrating key players together.

Bill Connelly: England possesses an optimal mix of talent, depth, coaching, and health. If they can maintain this balance leading up to the tournament, they will be well-equipped for success.

Gab Marcotti: In evaluating teams, current injuries to Yamal and Pedri pose problems for Spain. Brazil and Argentina each face their own challenges. England offers a logical choice for a strong contender, especially with Tuchel at the helm.

FRANCE (2 Votes)

Last World Cup Win: 2018
FIFA Rank: 3

Beth Lindop: While Spain might be the most balanced team globally, I am backing France. With a history of World Cup success, including a 2018 victory and a runner-up finish in 2022, they excel in attacking prowess, unmatched by most national squads.

ARGENTINA (1 Vote)

Last World Cup Win: 2022
FIFA Rank: 2

Rob Dawson: Managing the environmental conditions during the tournament will be vital for success. European teams may face difficulties, whereas Argentina, with a solid core from their World Cup-winning squad, stands a good chance. While Lionel Messi may not replicate his former impact, a strong supporting cast is still present.

Experience from the previous World Cup is crucial, and Argentina appears poised as a formidable force in the competition.

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