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Are the Maple Leafs and Kraken Engaged in a Controversial Niemela Trade?

Do Maple Leafs and Kraken Make Questionable Niemela Trade?


A proposed trade between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Seattle Kraken raises intriguing possibilities for both teams. The trade would see the Maple Leafs acquire defenseman Jamie Oleksiak, with Seattle retaining $2.3 million of his salary. At the same time, the Kraken would receive 22-year-old defense prospect Topi Niemela, along with Toronto’s 2026 first-round and third-round draft picks.

What the Maple Leafs and the Kraken Get from the Trade

For the Maple Leafs, Oleksiak would bring size, physicality, and defensive depth to the blue line. Standing at 6-foot-7, the Toronto native is entering the fourth year of his five-year, $23 million contract and could slot in as a second-pairing left-shot defenseman. Last season, Oleksiak recorded two goals and 13 assists for 15 points in 82 games. He plays a reliable shutdown role for Seattle. On the other hand, Seattle would benefit from adding Niemela, a promising prospect who posted 39 points in 68 games last season, showcasing his offensive skills and puck-moving ability.

Reason One for Nixing the Trade: Focus on Building for the Future

The Maple Leafs have emphasized developing their prospect pool over the past few seasons, with young players like Niemela representing critical parts of the team’s future. Trading him for Oleksiak, who is already 31, could undermine the team’s long-term success. Toronto has a unique opportunity to groom their young defensive prospects into NHL regulars, and moving them for a short-term fix could be detrimental.

Reason Two for Nixing the Trade: Decline in Performance of Aging Defensemen

Defensemen, especially those who play a physical, grinding style like Oleksiak, experience performance decline as they age. By the time Toronto is deep into a playoff run, Oleksiak could be less effective, making this trade a risky gamble for the Maple Leafs.

Reason Three for Nixing the Trade: Cap Flexibility and Future Moves

Cap space is a precious commodity for the Maple Leafs. Adding Oleksiak’s contract could restrict the team’s ability to make future moves, whether addressing needs later in the season or re-signing younger players. By keeping their cap flexible, Toronto can remain open to moves in a highly competitive Eastern Conference.

Reason Four for Nixing the Trade: Internal Options and Development

Rather than acquiring another aging defenseman, Toronto could focus on developing its internal talent. Players like Niemela and Timothy Liljegren are growing more capable as young defensemen. Relying on these homegrown players is more cost-effective and aligns with the team’s long-term vision of sustaining success through youth development.

The Bottom Line: The Maple Leafs Shouldn’t Make This Trade

Although acquiring a veteran defenseman like Oleksiak may seem tempting, the Maple Leafs must weigh the long-term consequences of such a move. They already have an older defenseman in Chris Tanev. Prioritizing youth development, maintaining cap flexibility, and avoiding the potential decline of aging defenders will allow the Maple Leafs to build a more sustainable foundation for success. Ultimately, this trade might offer short-term gains but could hurt Toronto’s long-term competitiveness.