No. 13 seed Vermont will try to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005 when it faces No. 4 seed Duke in the first round of the South Region on Friday night. The Catamounts (28-6) have won 10 consecutive games, including a 66-61 win over UMass Lowell in the America East Tournament title game. Duke (24-8) closed the regular season with a loss to rival North Carolina before falling to NC State in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals. The Blue Devils had won eight of their previous nine games prior to those two losses, though.
Tipoff is set for 7:10 p.m. ET from the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. The Blue Devils are 12-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. Vermont odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 133. Before making any Vermont vs. Duke picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. Vermont. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Vermont vs. Duke:
- Duke vs. Vermont spread: Duke -12.5
- Duke vs. Vermont over/under: 133 points
- Duke vs. Vermont money line: Duke -835, Vermont +558
- DUKE: 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games in March
- UVM: 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
- Duke vs. Vermont picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Duke can cover
Duke is usually a reliable team to back at this time of the year, entering the 2024 NCAA Tournament with the best tournament record of all-time at 119-40 (.748). The Blue Devils have won seven consecutive games in the Round of 64, and they are 32-4 in the first round overall. They cruised to a 74-51 win over trendy underdog Oral Roberts in the Round of 64 last season.
All-ACC First Team member Kyle Filipowski leads Duke with 17.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game, getting the nod as one of 15 finalists for the Wooden Award. Vermont is coming off an impressive regular season, but it did not face a ranked opponent this year. The Catamounts were blown out by Virginia Tech in December, which was their lone meeting with a major-conference program. See which team to pick at SportsLine.
Why Vermont can cover
Vermont is one of the hottest teams in college basketball entering the tournament, winning 10 consecutive games to earn the automatic bid from the America East. The Catamounts have established themselves as the class of the conference, winning three straight leagues titles while getting set for their sixth NCAA Tournament appearance since 2016. They are trying to take the next step forward this season, as they have not reached the second round since 2005.
The Catamounts overcame double-digit deficits in five wins and trailed by three points at halftime of the America East title game, so they are battle-tested coming into the Big Dance. They also rank ninth nationally in scoring defense, giving them a chance to make this an ugly game and keep Duke from finding its rhythm. The Blue Devils have lost consecutive games and are coming off a second-round exit in the NCAA Tournament last year, so confidence could be an issue on Friday night. See which team to pick at SportsLine.
How to make Duke vs. Vermont picks
The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 145 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Vermont vs. Duke, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is 29-19 on top-rated college basketball spread picks this season.
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