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FanGraphs Weekly Power Rankings: September 3–8

FanGraphs Power Rankings: September 3–8


Complete Power Rankings


Rank Team Record Elo Opponent Elo Playoff Odds Power Score Δ
1 Dodgers 86-57 1586 1495 100.0% 1622 0

Tier 1 – The Best of the Best

  • Dodgers: The Dodgers won their weekend series against the Guardians and claimed the best record in baseball. Shohei Ohtani inched ever closer to the 50-50 mark, and the team dodged a bullet when tests came back negative on Teoscar Hernández’s ankle after he was hit by a pitch on Friday. The pitching staff is still a little beat up, with Gavin Stone the latest hurler to hit the IL, but they should be getting Yoshinobu Yamamoto back from his shoulder injury just in time for the stretch run.
  • Padres: With a series win over the Tigers followed by a series loss to the Giants, the Padres treaded water in the standings last week. They’ve fallen six games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and are only two games ahead of the Mets and Braves and a half game ahead of the Diamondbacks in the Wild Card race. Thankfully, they activated Yu Darvish off the IL last week, bolstering a pitching staff that’s been led by Michael King recently.
  • Diamondbacks: The Diamondbacks managed to avoid a sweep in Houston on Sunday night thanks to the heroics of Pavin Smith, who homered three times and drove in eight in a blowout victory. Like most of the other teams in this tier, the Diamondbacks received some injury reinforcements last week; Ketel Marte and Christian Walker were both activated off the IL and should join a rejuvenated Corbin Carroll in powering Arizona’s offense over these next few weeks.
  • Phillies: The Phillies couldn’t complete the series win against the Marlins over the weekend after scoring 21 runs across the first two games of the series. Kyle Schwarber did his best to carry Philadelphia’s offense; he blasted five home runs and collected 12 hits last week.
  • Astros: The Astros were swept by the Reds last week but got back on track with a decisive series win against the Diamondbacks over the weekend. They play the A’s and Angels 10 times over the next two weeks, which should give them the opportunity to build an insurmountable lead in the AL West.

Tier 2 – On the Cusp of Greatness

  • Brewers: The Brewers currently possess the best run differential in the majors and will most likely be the first team to lock up their division. There isn’t enough attention being paid to how strong this team looks given the adversity they’ve had to overcome this year.
  • Royals: The roller coaster ride that is the AL Central just continues. After their losing streak was extended to seven games by the Guardians, the Royals turned around and won four straight, including a sweep of the Twins this past weekend.

Tier 3 – Solid Contenders

  • Yankees: The Yankees are sitting pretty with a 100.0% chance of making the playoffs. They continue to perform well and have a strong team overall.
  • Guardians: Despite some ups and downs, the Guardians have a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs and are looking to secure their spot in the postseason.
  • Mets: The Mets had their nine-game win streak snapped on Sunday, but their hot streak momentarily thrust them into sole possession of the final NL Wild Card spot. Their loss combined with the Braves extra-innings victory on Sunday means these two division rivals are tied in the standings. They have three more head-to-head meetings to look forward to during the final week of the season.
  • Orioles: The Orioles have a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs and are showing consistency in their performance.