The Red Sox have been on a hot streak lately, boasting a 16-6 record since June 12 that is the best in baseball. Their playoff odds have reached a season-high of 48.0%, a remarkable turnaround for a team that was projected to have a sub-.500 record at the start of the year. In the competitive AL Wild Card race, each of these recent wins has been crucial for the Red Sox, especially considering that they are more sensitive to changes in the standings than any other team, as highlighted by Dan Szymborski.
As the trade deadline approaches, the Red Sox could be in the mix for some big names. However, a significant portion of their recent success can be attributed to the notable improvements from players already on their roster. Pitchers Tanner Houck and Kutter Crawford, along with catcher Connor Wong, have all stepped up their game lately, as discussed by Jay Jaffe in a recent article. But perhaps the most impressive player for the Red Sox this season has been Jarren Duran, the leader in plate appearances, runs scored, and WAR.
Duran’s breakout season has coincided with his first full-time role in the lineup. After brief stints in 2021 and 2022, he platooned last season and put up solid numbers. However, there were some indicators of potential regression, such as outperforming his expected wOBA and relying heavily on a high BABIP. Despite his raw numbers dipping slightly this year, Duran has maintained a strong 121 wRC+, supported by more sustainable peripheral stats.
A major change in Duran’s game this season has been his approach at the plate. Previously known for his aggressive swings, particularly on first pitches, Duran has become more selective. By reducing his first-pitch swing rate and improving his zone discipline, Duran has elevated his performance significantly. These adjustments have not only boosted his power numbers but also led to improvements in his strikeout and walk rates.
Furthermore, Duran’s speed on the basepaths has been a valuable asset for the Red Sox this season. His aggressive baserunning has contributed to the team’s overall offensive improvements and has made him one of the most valuable runners in the league. Combined with his solid plate approach and defensive improvements, Duran has emerged as a key player for the Red Sox in 2024.
One area where Duran has seen a remarkable improvement this season is in his defense. Despite previous struggles in the outfield, Duran has made significant strides in his defensive game, particularly in center field. His improved route efficiency and defensive metrics place him among the top outfielders in the league, showcasing his well-rounded skill set on both offense and defense.
Overall, Jarren Duran’s breakout season with the Red Sox has been a testament to his hard work and dedication to improving all aspects of his game. From his refined approach at the plate to his aggressive baserunning and enhanced defensive performance, Duran has solidified his role as a key contributor to the team’s success in 2024.
