With the playoff fields in both leagues nearly set, our focus at FanGraphs is now on how teams are setting up for October. While Jay Jaffe has been highlighting the best players at each position among the contenders and the worst, and Dan Szymborski has delved into playoff lineup construction, I am taking a different approach.
I am looking for the players, strategies, and matchups that could make the difference between success and failure for each team. The postseason is not always about the best players in baseball; sometimes, less heralded players play a crucial role in determining who takes home the World Series trophy.
Think of players like Steve Pearce and David Freese, who have lengthened their lineups to turn good offenses into great ones, or the Braves bullpen dominating their way to success in 2021. The impact of these supporting players, often overlooked, can be significant in deciding the outcome of games.
I recently went through each team in the American League and focused on one potential pivot point. Today, it’s the National League’s turn.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Righty Bats vs. Righty Relievers
The Dodgers, a perennial playoff fixture in recent years, have made a notable change in their offensive tactics this season. In the past, they heavily relied on platoon matchups to gain an advantage, but this year they have mostly abandoned that strategy. With eight spots in their starting lineup consistent regardless of opponent handedness, the Dodgers are opting to play their guys straight up.
This shift in offensive approach could be a significant factor in their postseason success. How key at-bats against right-handed relievers go for players like Teoscar Hernández and Will Smith will likely have a big impact on the team’s performance in the playoffs.
Philadelphia Phillies: Nick Castellanos
Nick Castellanos could be the difference-maker for the Philadelphia Phillies in the postseason. Known for his free-swinging style and ability to go on home run tears, Castellanos has the potential to single-handedly win a series. While he has been inconsistent at times, his impact on the offense when he’s on fire is undeniable.
A good week or month from Castellanos could turn the Phillies’ postseason fortunes around and potentially lead them to a World Series title.
Milwaukee Brewers: Outfield Defense
Milwaukee’s outfield defense has been exceptional this season, with the team boasting one of the best defensive outfields in the majors. Led by a squad of elite defenders, the Brewers have excelled at preventing extra-base hits and making crucial plays in the outfield.
The team’s outfield defense, combined with their pitching staff’s fly ball tendencies, has been a key factor in their success this season. If they can continue to limit extra-base hits and capitalize on their defensive strengths, the Brewers have a good chance of making a deep postseason run.
San Diego Padres: Tanner Scott and Adrian Morejon
Despite significant offseason turnover, the San Diego Padres have assembled a strong squad with promising players like Tanner Scott and Adrian Morejon. These two pitchers could play a crucial role in the Padres’ postseason hopes, providing key performances out of the bullpen.
With a talented roster and promising young players, the Padres have the potential to make a deep playoff run this season. The performances of players like Scott and Morejon could be instrumental in their postseason success.
