Teams looking to get back on track meet at the Palestra in Philadelphia on Sunday when the Michigan Wolverines take on the Penn State Nittany Lions in a key Big Ten matchup. The Wolverines (6-8, 1-2 Big Ten), who have lost three in a row and six of eight, are coming off a 73-71 loss to Minnesota on Thursday. The Nittany Lions (7-7, 1-2 Big Ten), who have lost seven of 10, dropped a 92-61 decision at Michigan State on Thursday.
Tip-off is set for noon ET. Michigan leads the all-time series 39-15, but the teams have split the last six meetings. The Wolverines are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Michigan vs. Penn State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 153.5. Before making any Penn State vs. Michigan picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 9 of the 2023-24 season on a 101-66 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a fast 11-4 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Michigan vs. Penn State. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the latest betting trends and lines for Penn State vs. Michigan.
- Michigan vs. Penn State spread: Michigan -3.5
- Michigan vs. Penn State over/under: 153.5 points
- Michigan vs. Penn State money line: Michigan -197, Penn State +163
- MICH: The Wolverines have hit the game total over in 22 of their last 34 games
- PSU: The Nittany Lions have hit the team total over in 23 of their last 36 games
- Michigan vs. Penn State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Penn State can cover
Guard Kanye Clary has been on a roll, scoring 20 or more points in each of the last four games. In a 90-63 win over Rider on Dec. 29, he scored 29 points and dished out three assists. In 14 starts this year, he is averaging 18.4 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.2 steals. He is connecting on 50.8% of his field goals, including 36.5% from 3-point range, and 84.9% from the free-throw line.
Also powering the Nittany Lions is guard Ace Baldwin Jr. He is in his first year with the program after spending his first three years at VCU. In 14 games, including 12 starts, Baldwin is averaging 12.8 points, 4.4 assists, 2.5 steals and 1.8 rebounds. He has scored in double figures in 10 games, including a season-high 27 points in an 86-74 loss to VCU on Nov. 26. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why Michigan can cover
Guard Dug McDaniel is having a breakout season, averaging nearly 10 more points per game than he did last year. In 14 games this season, all starts, he is averaging 18.3 points, 5.1 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 1.1 steals in 36.4 minutes of action. He is among the team’s leading free-throw shooters, connecting on 81% of his foul shots. He has had two 33-point games this season, including in a 106-101 double-overtime loss to Florida on Dec. 19. In that game, he also grabbed eight rebounds and dished out five assists.
Forward Olivier Nkamhoua, a transfer from Tennessee, has also been a force for the Wolverines. He has posted four double-doubles, including 24 points and 11 rebounds in the loss to Florida. He is coming off a 16-point and eight-rebound effort in the loss to Minnesota on Thursday. For the season, Nkamhoua is averaging 17.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists in 33.2 minutes of play. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Penn State vs. Michigan picks
The model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 80% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Michigan vs. Penn State, and which side of the spread hits 80% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 101-66 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.
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