As the Nitto ATP Finals approaches its climax, the upcoming semifinal clash between Jannik Sinner and Alex de Minaur promises to be a compelling showdown. Sinner, currently ranked second in the world, enters this match with an astonishing record against the Australian player. With a perfect 12-0 head-to-head score, Sinner has illustrated a commanding dominance, winning a staggering 27 out of 29 total sets contested against De Minaur.
The pair’s most recent encounter took place just weeks ago in Vienna, where Sinner again demonstrated his superiority with a straight-sets victory, winning 6-3, 6-4. This matchup serves as a continuation of Sinner’s impressive form in the tournament. The Italian sensation has gone through his round-robin phase without dropping a match, handily dispatching Felix Auger-Aliassime, Alexander Zverev, and Ben Shelton—all in straight sets. Last year’s champion in Turin, Sinner is riding an eight-match winning streak at this prestigious event and boasts a solid 13-2 lifetime record at the Nitto ATP Finals, which includes a runner-up finish in 2023 after falling to Novak Djokovic.
On the other side of the net, Alex de Minaur’s path to the semifinals has been anything but smooth. The seventh-ranked Australian found himself in peril after suffering losses to Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti, putting his qualification hopes on thin ice. However, he displayed resilience by bouncing back to defeat Taylor Fritz in straight sets, winning 7-6(3), 6-3 in a must-win situation. Despite emerging physically unscathed from his last match, De Minaur’s emotional journey throughout the tournament may weigh on him, especially considering his significant struggles against Sinner.
As the two players gear up for Saturday’s match, it seems all signs point toward another victory for Sinner. The consistent performance and mental fortitude that the Italian has displayed throughout the tournament make him a formidable opponent. Expect Sinner to attempt to wrap up this semifinal quickly, setting the stage for a potential thrilling final showdown, likely against Alcaraz.
Given the current context, the prediction is clear: Jannik Sinner is favored to win in straight sets.
