Although the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers each have a lot of talent at the skill positions, both offenses are dealing with injuries in this matchup — so how should that impact your approach to player prop bets for this game? We break it all down and more as we give out our top Eagles vs. Buccaneers player prop bets.
Top Eagles vs. Buccaneers Player Prop Bets
Jalen Hurts Over 8.5 Rush Attempts (-135 at ESPN BET)
Blewis: Now that we’re in the postseason, the Eagles don’t need to be as conservative with managing Jalen Hurts’ nagging knee injury, and in recent weeks, he has looked healthier running the football than he did earlier this season.
With the Eagles not having A.J. Brown and Hurts dealing with a finger injury on his throwing hand, their passing attack will be compromised, to say the least. This makes utilizing Hurts as a runner even more crucial, as their rushing attack hasn’t been the same all season without their QB being as much of a threat in the read option or on scrambles.
I prefer to take Hurts’ over for rush attempts instead of rushing yards because he is more of a short-yardage runner, as we all know with the Brotherly Shove, for example.
Plus, this protects us from potential kneel-downs to end the game if the Eagles somehow manage to win a football game in convincing fashion.
DeVonta Smith Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Blewis: A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith might be the best wide receiver duo in the NFL, but the Eagles’ depth behind them at the position might also be the worst in the NFL. It’s Quez Watkins, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Julio Jones in the year 2024.
If the Eagles are going to have any success in attacking through the air, even against a below-average Buccaneers pass defense, then they will need to get Smith involved.
Smith should not only be heavily featured but also have big-play ability, meaning we don’t have to be overly reliant on volume for him to go over this number. During the regular season, Smith actually had as many receptions for 20+ yards as Brown on five fewer targets.
Rachaad White Longest Rush Under 13.5 Yards (-115 at FanDuel)
Katz: Rachaad White exceeded all expectations this year as a receiver. He’s, without question, an elite pass-catching back. But as great as White has been as a receiver, he’s been downright awful on the ground.
White averaged 3.6 yards per carry this season, which is somehow worse than last year’s 3.7. The volume will be there on the ground, but he’s just incapable of busting off big runs. A mere 2.2% of his carries went for 15+ yards this season.
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White carried the ball 272 times this season. Six of them went for more than 13 yards. Of those six carries, four of them came against teams that are in the bottom third of run defenses.
Against teams in the top 10, White doesn’t have a single rush longer than 13 yards. The Philadelphia Eagles were inside the top 10 against the run this season.
Cade Otton Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Blewis: We all know the Eagles have a terrible defense, but where they struggle the most is perhaps in defending the middle of the field. Although they’re now completely healthy at the position, their linebacker core is arguably the worst in the postseason and has been exploited all season long.
Additionally, rookie safety Sydney Brown tore his ACL last week against the Giants, and safety Reed Blankenship has been dealing with a groin injury. This leaves the Eagles very thin with options to cover tight ends outside of Kevin Byard.
While Cade Otton went under this total seven times this past season, four of those games were in the first five weeks. While the Eagles’ pass rush fell apart in the second half of the season, it gave Baker Mayfield fits the last time they played, meaning quick and short-to-intermediate throws could certainly be a focal point for this Buccaneers passing offense.
Baker Mayfield Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-125 at DraftKings), Over 1.5 TD passes (+114)
Soppe: The Eagles have the fifth-highest opponent pass rate over expectation (PROE) this season — an indicator of where the weaknesses are in this defense.
That ranking is far more than I need to green-light Mayfield at his listed number. In his past six games when not facing a bottom-five PROE defense, Mayfield has cleared 245 passing yards in all six and has averaged 293.7 passing yards per game.
The Eagles figure to encourage the Buccaneers to pass — something the Bucs have a way of doing to themselves, courtesy of a league-low 3.4 yards per carry this season.
If I’m promoting points and passing yards, it shouldn’t be a surprise with where I stand on the passing touchdown total for Mayfield. In six of his past seven games against non-bottom-five PROE defenses, he’s thrown for multiple scores.
The Eagles are the third-worst red-zone defense in the NFL, and given the variety of options for Mayfield, the air is their best bet to take advantage of where Philadelphia is weakest.
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