Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson was quick to remind us this week that the Super Bowl happens in February and not December, but there is no denying that this game features two of the best teams in the NFL.
How can you get creative to make your same game parlay pick (+600) in the game of the week?
Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Lines
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- Spread
49ers -5 - Moneyline
Ravens +190, 49ers -230 - Total
47
We here at Soppe HQ like to encourage responsible gaming, and in that vein, I’ll always offer you a trivia question off the top of these articles. Pose this question to a buddy you are watching the game with: answer correctly, and you pay for the SGP; misfire, and he/she is on the hook.
Ravens vs. 49ers Same Game Parlay
Trivia Question: Which player in this game has the most receptions through 15 weeks this season?
The end of Week 16 will tell us if the 49ers are in a tier of their own, something that they’ve looked like for the majority of this season. I think this spread is about right, so I’m not picking a winner in this game, but that doesn’t mean that a statistically sound same-game parlay pick cannot be locked in!
MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor
Gus Edwards is a fade for me in fantasy football this week, but my lack of expectations is reflected in the betting markets. With Keaton Mitchell out, Edwards is slated to see the bulk of the running back work for the Ravens, a role that should land him in double figures when it comes to carry count as Baltimore aims to keep San Francisco’s offense on the sidelines.
- 40+ rushing yards in 30 of 33 career games with 10+ carries
Edwards may not be efficient, and he may not score, but the role he is set to assume is more favorable than his betting prop suggests, in my opinion, and he fits the story I am telling of a game that features a lower possession count.
Rookie Zay Flowers has shown some flashes of the potential we know he has, but he’s struggling at the moment and has struggled with consistency. Flowers has checked in with under 45 receiving yards in three of his past four games and in five of his past seven.
In this quick strike Todd Monken offense, much of Flowers’ success has come on catch-and-run situations in the short pass game.
Can he break out of his slump against a 49ers defense that misses the third-fewest tackles per game? Can he improve on a 60% catch range over his past three games? Can he succeed against the third-lowest blitzing defense and thus will often be crowded at the line of scrimmage?
The favored 49ers are the slowest-moving offense in the league this season and look to keep the chains moving. If the overall play count is likely to be kept in check (neither of these teams wants to give the opposing MVP candidate more chances with the ball than they need to), then the projected point total is a tough sell for the top two per play scoring defenses in all the land.
- Trivia Answer: Zay Flowers has more catches than any other player in this game (65) despite having fewer receiving yards than three 49ers.
- Same Game Parlay Pick: Under 47 points, Gus Edwards over 39.5 rushing yards, Zay Flowers under 46.5 receiving yards
- Odds: +600 (at DraftKings)
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