Welcome back to NBA playoff basketball featuring some exciting matchups highlighted by Basketball Forever. Using advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has analyzed thousands of simulations for each game to identify the best player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 66.5%
Projection: 11.7
Edge: 16.5%
Game: Kings vs Pelicans (9:30PM EST)
Our model suggests the top player prop bet for today’s playoff lineup is in the Kings vs Pelicans game, with Domantas Sabonis being a standout in the over assists market. Sabonis averages 8.2 assists per game and has surpassed this number in three of his last five regular season games. With Fox and Murray on the court, Sabonis is expected to have ample opportunities to exceed this mark.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends betting on Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Total Assists for an edge of 16.5% at +100 odds on Draftkings Sportsbook.
2. AYO DOSUNMU OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+130)
Odds: +130
Probability: 56.8%
Projection: 17.3
Edge: 9.1%
Game: Bulls vs Heat (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified another top NBA player prop bet for today’s playoff games. In the Bulls vs Heat matchup, Ayo Dosunmu presents value in the total assist market. Dosunmu has been averaging 3.2 assists per game this season and 3.8 in his last 10 regular season games. With Jimmy out for the Heat and Caruso doubtful, Dosunmu is expected to play a bigger offensive role.
Our model recommends betting on Ayo Dosunmu Over 4.5 Total Assists with an edge of 9.1% at +130 odds on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. CJ MCCOLLUM OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-135)
Odds: -135
Probability: 62.8%
Projection: 4.7
Edge: 5.4%
Game: Kings vs Pelicans (9:30PM EST)
Another top NBA playoff player prop bet from our betting bot comes in the Kings vs Pelicans game, with CJ McCollum showing value in the over 3-pointers made market. McCollum averages 3.6 3-pointers per game and is projected to hit 4.7 in tonight’s game. With Zion out, McCollum is expected to have more scoring opportunities.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts CJ McCollum Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made with an 15.3% edge on the -110 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model predicts higher probabilities of an event than the best odds available with U.S Sportsbooks, indicating a higher chance of winning. Consistently selecting picks with a higher edge can enhance your profitability in sports betting in the long run.
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