Another day of NBA basketball is among us. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for today’s NBA slate. (10/23) We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions.
TODAY’S TOP 5 VOAT PICKS
1. SETH CURRY UNDER 2+ 3PM
Seth Curry is a very solid player is now a strange fit on a Charlotte roster that got better and younger in the offseason. He regressed as a shooter last year, only racking up an average of 1.1 3PM per game in the 23/24 season once he got to the Hornets. We anticipate him playing < 15 mins in tonight’s contest, making this number a little too high.
2. JAMES HARDEN OVER 2+ TO
Harden has always had trouble holding onto the ball, and now has a bigger workload than ever with Paul George’s departure to Philly, and Kawhi Leonard’s knee injury. Last season he averaged 2.6 TO per game, and his usage should be higher to start this season.
3. KEVIN DURANT OVER 28+ POINTS
Last season KD averaged 27.1 points per game, and he now has an extra year and training camp under his belt with a fully healthy Devin Booker and Bradley Beal. Our model predicts that KD will elevate as the Suns leading scorer this season, and he should start the 2024/25 campaign off hot.
4. TYRESE MAXEY OVER 3+ 3PM
In the 23/24 season, Maxey averaged three 3PM per game. With no Embiid or Paul George tonight, Maxey will have to shoulder a lot of the scoring load, and his volume should be no issue with this number.
1. JA MORANT OVER 7.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-132)
Odds: -132
Probability: 63.9%
Projection: 10.1
Edge: 7%
Game: Grizzlies vs Jazz (9PM EST)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Salt Lake City where the Grizzlies and Jazz get ready to start their season’s off. Morant is in for a massive season, and entering healthy with a talented scoring roster around him – he should deal more assists than we have seen historically. He averaged 8APG on limited output last season, and we see no reason why he doesn’t eclipse that number this year.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Ja Morant Over 7.5 Total Assists with -132 odds. With a 63.9% probability and a 7% edge, this is our best player prop bet of the day.
2. STEPHEN CURRY OVER 4.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 63.7%
Projection: 5.8
Edge: 9.6%
Game: Warriors vs Trail Blazers (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Warriors vs Trail Blazers game, with Stephen Curry showing value in the over 3PM made prop market. Curry is the best shooter in NBA history. Last season he averaged 4.8 3PM per game, and this stat hasn’t dropped below a 4.5 3PM average since the 2019/20 season where he only played in five games. The Portland defence should offer little resistance to the Warriors phenom – and we project him nudging six 3PM on the night.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 9.6% edge on the -102 odds.
3. MARCUS SMART OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-113)
Odds: -113
Probability: 62.7%
Projection: 5.8
Edge: 9.6%
Game: Grizzlies vs Jazz (9PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another great NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Marcus Smart in the Grizzlies vs Jazz matchup. He is back! After an injury affected 2023/24 season, Smart is healthy and ready to occupy the Memphis backcourt with Ja Morant. He has always been a savvy passer, and will have even less of a scoring expectation playing next to Bane, Morant, JJJ and the crew. Expect him to be a pass-first point guard this season. This number is too low.
We recommend placing a bet on Marcus Smart Over 3.5 Total Assists, with an edge 9.6% available at -113 odds.
