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Top NBA Playoff Player Props and Bets for May 22, 2025

Top NBA Playoff Player Props and Bets for May 22, 2025

We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight.

PLAYER PROPS

1. ANTHONY EDWARDS OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+124)

Odds: +124
Probability: 52.6%
Projection: 3.7
Edge: 7.9
Game: Timberwolves vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Oklahoma City where the Timberwolves vs Thunder face-off tonight. In this game, our Basketball betting bot narrowed down Anthony Edwards in the total 3-pointers made prop market. Over his last 5 games, Edwards has been able to exceed this line 3/5 times, racking up a total of 3.5 3-pointers per game in the postseason. When matched up against the Thunder, Ant has been able to average a total of 3 3PM. Our model suspects that with a projection of 3.7 3PM and an average of 3 3-pointers against the Thunder, this is a solid wager to take for tonight’s NBA slate.

Our model recommends placing a wager on Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made at +124 odds and an attractive 7.9% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.

2. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 31.5 POINTS (-120)

Odds: -120
Probability: 54.1%
Projection: 34.2
Edge: 7.7%
Game: Timberwolves vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends comes in the Timberwolves vs Thunder game, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showing value in the total points made prop market.

So far this season, SGA has been shooting the ball well, able to hold an average of 29.5 points in the postseason, with a 35 point average when faced against the Timberwolves throughout the regular season. Our model is projecting SGA to end tonight’s game with a total of 34.2 PTS, leading us to have high confidence in this wager. With the Thunder taking control of the first game of the series, we believe that he’ll be able to exceed this number tonight.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points in tonight’s game, which gives us a 7.7% edge on the -120 odds.

3. JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+124)

Odds: +124
Probability: 51.9%
Projection: 5.8
Edge: 5.1%
Game: Timberwolves vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Timberwolves vs Thunder game, with Jalen Williams showing value in the total assists made prop market. So far throughout the postseason, Williams has been able to average a total of 5.4 assists per game, falling one short in their last matchup against the Timberwolves. Our model suspects that tonight, Williams will be dishing the ball to the best possible scoring matchup.

Over his last five games, he’s been able to exceed this line three times, falling only one assist short in another game. Our model suspects that with the Thunder being up one in the series, they’ll be looking to keep racking up points by targeting the best scoring matchups on the court. With our model projecting a total of 5.8 AST, we believe this is a solid wager for tonight’s NBA slate.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jalen Williams Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 7.2% at +124 odds.

BEST BETS

1. TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 (-110)

Odds: -110
Probability: 52.3%
Edge: 4.1%
Game: Timberwolves vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Timberwolves vs Thunder matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Timberwolves +7.5 is a solid wager. Going into tonight’s game, the Thunder are up 1-0 in the series, with the Timberwolves fumbling the first game. In the first matchup, the Timberwolves gave up a total of 26 free throws, with 21 of them making their way into the basket, contributing to their downfall. Our model believes that was a fluke and the Timberwolves will be looking to limit potential fouls in tonight’s game. With the Timberwolves winning 2/3 regular season games and covering this number in 2/3 games, our model has a high degree of confidence in this particular wager.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Timberwolves +7.5. With -110 odds and a 4.1% edge, this is our best bet of the day.