The Midwest Region of the 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket features a first round game between the No. 8 seed Utah State Aggies (27-6) and the No. 9 seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-12). The Aggies won the regular season Mountain West title in head coach Danny Sprinkle’s first year on the job with an overall record of 27-6. Utah State lost to San Diego State in the semifinal round of the Mountain West tournament and entered March Madness ranked 38th in the country in NET. The Horned Frogs had an up-and-down regular season, but proved they can play with (and beat) any team in the country by notching wins over Houston and Baylor. TCU lost to Houston in the quarterfinals of the Big 12 Tournament.
Tipoff is set for 9:55 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The latest TCU vs. Utah State odds via SportsLine consensus list the Horned Frogs as 3-point favorites. The over/under is 150.5. Before making any Utah State vs. TCU picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer simulation model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. TCU and just locked in its March Madness predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for TCU vs. Utah State:
- Utah State vs. TCU spread: TCU -4
- Utah State vs. TCU over/under: 150.5 points
- Utah State vs. TCU money line: Utah State +152, TCU -182
- TCU: The Horned Frogs are 19-14 against the spread this season.
- USU: The Aggies are 14-15-2 against the spread this season.
- Utah State vs. TCU picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Utah State can cover
Utah State finished the regular season atop the Mountain West standings. The Aggies fell to San Diego State (No. 5 seed in the East Region) in the semifinal round of the Mountain West Tournament, and Danny Sprinkle’s team feels like it was disrespected by the NCAA Tournament selection committee. Utah State finished the season ranked 38th in NET.
The Aggies were led by Great Osobor and Darius Brown II, who both followed Sprinkle from Montana State. Osobor was named Mountain West Player of the Year after averaging 18.0 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game. Brown averaged 12.4 points, 6.5 assists, and 4.4 rebounds per game during the regular season. See which team to pick at SportsLine.
Why TCU can cover
The Horned Frogs are extremely athletic and capable of making some noise in the NCAA Tournament if they are knocking down shots. TCU was able to notch high quality wins over Houston, Baylor, and Oklahoma (twice) during the regular season. The Horned Frogs are led by head coach Jamie Dixon, who will be coaching in his 15th career NCAA Tournament.
The Frogs are led by the trio of Jameer Nelson Jr., Emanuel Miller, and Micah Peavy. Nelson, son of former NBA point guard Jameer Nelson Sr., averages 11.3 points, 3.3 assists, 2.6 rebounds, and 2.0 steals per game. Miller leads the team in scoring (15.9) and rebounds (5.9), while Peavy averages 11.1 points and 4.9 rebounds per game. See which team to pick at SportsLine.
How to make TCU vs. Utah State picks
The model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 150 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Utah State vs. TCU, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is 29-19 on top-rated college basketball spread picks this season, and find out.
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