Farmers Insurance Open 2024 PGA Tour picks, odds, players to watch

Xander Schauffele tees off on one of the Pete Dye Stadium Course during the final round of The American Express at PGA West in La Quinta, Calif., Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.

Xander Schauffele (12/1): T-3

Sungjae Im (20/1): T-25

J.T. Poston (30/1): T-11

Jason Day (35/1): T-34

Another close call with Schauffele tying for third. Credit to you if you bet Nick Dunlap to win outright last week at the AMEX, I don’t feel too bad about missing that one. What a win for the kid.

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Ludvig Aberg hits his tee shot on the second hole during the third round of the Sony Open in Hawaii golf tournament at Waialae Country Club. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Aberg hasn’t posted a great finish thus far in 2024, tying for 47th at The Sentry and 30th at the Sony Open.

However, I think Torrey Pines — narrow fairways, long holes — fits Aberg perfectly.

The Swede averaged 317.1 yards off the tee last season, ranking 6th on Tour. As for accuracy, Aberg hit 65.47 percent of fairways, good enough for 27th.

Jason Day of Australia hits a tee shot on the 16th hole during the first round of The American Express at La Quinta Country Club on January 18, 2024 in La Quinta, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

Does it feel like I’m chasing a Day win at this point? Yeah, a little bit. But this week it’s for good reason.

The Aussie couldn’t get much going at the American Express last week, eventually for 34th. At The Sentry earlier this month, Day grabbed a share of 10th. And just last month, the former world No. 1 teamed with Lydia Ko to win the Grant Thornton Invitational. Ko won on the LPGA last week, so is it Day’s turn this go around?

He’s played tremendously well at Torrey Pines throughout his career, winning twice (2015, 2018) and finishing inside the top 10 three of the last five years (T-16 in 2020).

Keegan Bradley plays his shot from the tenth tee during the final round of the Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club on January 14, 2024 in Honolulu, Hawaii. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

After tying for 45th at The Sentry, Bradley lost in a playoff at the Sony Open.

He’s played well at the Famers Insurance Open throughout his career, making 10 cuts in 12 starts and grabbing three top-5 finishes in his last six appearances including second to Max Homa in ’23.

Adrian Meronk of Poland reacts to finishing his round on the 18th green during the final round of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 21, 2024 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by Richard Heathcote/Getty Images)

Adrian Meronk? Really? Yes, and here’s why.

Meronk has played beautiful golf to begin 2024 on the DP World Tour, finishing 10th at the Dubai Invitational and 2nd to Rory McIlroy at last week’s Hero Dubai Desert Classic.

The big man from Poland is a 5-time winner on the DP World Tour, with four of those coming since July 2022. He’s learned how to win, and now it’s time to do it on the biggest stage in golf.

If you feel uncomfortable taking Meronk outright at 50/1, he’s +120 to finish inside the top 30.